So, you know why Vegas has been able to be the national capital of gambling and debauchery since the city’s founding in 1905? Because THE HOUSE ALWAYS WINS. They’re right more often than not. If they weren’t, the gambling industry wouldn’t be the evergrowing behemoth that it currently is. And if you are a frequent sports gambler, you see just how good these line makers and bookies are at forecasting any given scenario in sports. I mean so often there is a game still in gambling contention right up until the final whistle.
I’m going to spare anyone unfamiliar with the way odds are expressed the pain of having to trudge through this post, and not get into the specific odds. I understand that to the less degenerate among those faithful to the shoe, that reading odds and payouts can often times feel like a foreign language.
Following the Matt Ryan trade there has been immediate shift in the odds for the AFC South crown. Across the many, many sports books out there, the Tennessee Titans were the favorite to win the AFC South and who could blame the bookies and NFL analysts for that? This is no longer the case, with the Colts moving into the favorite position across many sportsbooks in America.
How major is this? Well consider the fact that just last season the Tenessee Titans were the #1 seed last year. A season after they posted the best record in the AFC and following 2 years in which they won the AFC, the Titans now slip out of favor with the book makers all because of the signing of Matt Ryan to the Colts. This should put the mind of many Colts fans at ease even if just a bit.
I get all the frustrations currently with our front office. But for the major detractors from this trade, you need to realize while this post may be written by a neverwaivering Colts fanboy, Vegas is as objective as it gets. They honestly can’t afford to be anything other than objective. So while the detractors are often the loudest among us. I am genuinely excited to welcome our latest attempt at finding a QB, and I have to believe that is the case for most of us out there.
Yes, Matt Ryan’s numbers were down last season. But look at what he had for an offense. Look at his team. The Falcons were an absolute joke. At the least having Jonathon Taylor opens up the field for him. At the best we develop our receivers and can create multiple options for Matt. I have to believe that just having the threat of the pass now is the significant boost in our odds. A threat that in Vegas’ eyes is very real with real potential.
It does seem that you need the stud QB to win the super bowl these days, but I am (maybe delusionally) hopeful that if Matt Ryan can just be reliable, limiting our 3rd and longs and keeping possession of the ball, we can do something special this year.
I know the whole fan base seems torn on this offseason. Yes, I get that we’ve had more QBs than one would care to support. But hey, at least Irsay is invested enough in his own team to put a fire under Ballard to get something done. We have an active front office willing to go out and try something. There are so many teams out there that this is not the case for. Many owners are ok with mediocrity. While stability is king, Irsay’s willingness to try anything and everything to make this team better is the reason I love our ownership. And at the end of the day, no one truly knows what they’re getting. I mean how different would NFL drafts be with the power of foresight. I can tell you great QBs like Mahomes, Brees, or Brady would DEFINITELY not go where they did.
All we can do is ride with our squad. So I’m buckled in and fully on board for our AFC South Reclamation Tour. Here’s to Ballard for making a deal that will at least make the Boys in Blue watchable. And here’s to Vegas for laying out that this is a step in the right direction for the Indianapolis Colts.
For The Shoe